Physicians Practice, a leading medical practice management journal, contacted me for observations about trends in physician bankruptcies and financial distress. My comments will be published in an upcoming issue, but I have a preview for faithful readers on my thoughts:
1. There’s little doubt that physicians are going to be adversely affected by the economy-wide decline in healthcare consumption. The notion that demand for healthcare services was inelastic because care is a necessity was a fantasy. There’s been a rash of news reports of patients foregoing healthcare, everything from patients skipping appointments and diagnostic tests and cutting prescription dosages to stretch drugs out to parents who delay their daughter’s sweet 16 nose job and take care of her post-operatively at home, rather than foot the bill for an overnight stay. Anecdotally, many clients are confirming that patients who can put off care are doing so, and that even affluent patients are slower to pay and harder than ever to collect from.
2. This recent downturn, which was already brewing in 2008 prior to the crash, is a very recent trend, but the long-term downward trend in physician reimbursements and revenues has been one of growing disparity between the “haves” and “have nots” among physician practices, including divides:
- between low tech primary care physicians, who bear the brunt of a payment structure that fails to reward the diagnosing of patients with multiple problems through longer physical exams and detailed histories, and subspecialists, who, in general, fare better in a procedure-oriented structure;
- between subspecialties that perform more remunerative procedure-oriented care involving capital-intensive technology (orthopedics, cardiology, urology) and those that don’t (pediatric subspecialties, pulmonology, endocrinology);
- between physicians, particularly in elective medicine and concierge-type practices, whose patients are cash and PPO patients pay more for their services and physicians who are forced to accept the flat (and therefore declining in real terms) and often actually declining reimbursements from Medicare, Medicaid, and HMO’s;
- between physicians in saturated markets (particularly large urban centers) and physicians in small and medium sized markets, who often earn more for the same work based on supply/demand, but and save significantly on overhead expenses (e.g. office space, support staff) and regional variances (e.g. lower rates of malpractice litigation).
The “have not” ranks are growing and the “have” ranks are shrinking for variety of reasons.
3. Ultimately, the payment structure of medical practice drives physician supply towards more remunerative areas, while Medicare fee schedules and private payors steadily erode the more remunerative sectors. Over time, more and more physicians are experiencing the downgrading of medicine into a middle-class profession, albeit one that requires more training than any other in our society. Physician services are being/have been commoditized. (Physicians who are cash-only are bucking this trend by successfully differentiating themselves so that they can opt out of the third party payment system that drives these trends.) Younger physicians are opting in ever greater numbers for larger organization practice, such as in systems like Kaiser or in hospital-based medicine, where being part of a large organization looks better than ever. Physicians remaining in small or solo private practice turn to alternative revenue sources (e.g. ancillary services, such as imaging and physical therapy), but the payors and regulators ratchet down on these over time as well. It’s a losing battle.
4. Many physicians already in practice ignore these trends until they can’t any more. There is a generation of physicians in solo and small, private practice that have watched their incomes erode dramatically under capitation and managed care. The physicians most at risk in the current downturn include this significant population of physicians who are already suffering, treating patient populations that are heavily HMO and Medicaid, and don’t need much more to push them over the edge.
More to follow…

